Hopefully it’s not unlucky for some, but Premier League week 13 serves up another set of mouth-watering top-flight fixtures, split evenly between fixture slates on Saturday and Sunday.
With just three points separating Aston Villa in fourth from Liverpool in twelfth, every result feels significant in the division’s bloated midsection and the table could have a very different look by close of the weekend.
On Saturday, Everton’s clash with Newcastle and a London Derby between Tottenham and Fulham catch the eye. Crystal Palace’s meeting with Man Utd and a top-of-the-table skirmish between Chelsea and Arsenal are feature fixtures a day later, meanwhile.
As per the usual routine, we’ve got Premier League predictions for all ten of the weekend’s matches below.
Premier League Week 13 Saturday Games
Brentford vs Burnley
Brentford slipped to a narrow defeat at Brighton last weekend, so the return to the Gtech Community Stadium on Saturday, where they have been playing with confidence under Keith Andrews, comes as a relief.
Indeed, only Arsenal and Man City have won more home games (5 each) and scored more home goals (16 each) than the Bees in the Premier League this term (4 wins, 12 goals), and we’re siding with the hosts again for the visit of struggling Burnley.
The trick here is finding value, with Brentford on the market at a stingy 2/5 (1.40). Combining a home win with over 1.5 goals moves the needle, however, to a much more favourable price of 8/11.
Scott Parker’s Clarets are one of the division’s leakiest outfits. Only Wolves (27) and West Ham (25) have conceded more goals than the Turf Moor outfit (24) in the top flight this season, while keeper Martin Dúbravka has made more saves than anyone else (49).
Burnley also have the league’s worst figures for expected goals against (xGA) at 25.1. The Bees, who have scored three goals in three of their last four assignments, have the tools to do some damage against a brittle Clarets backline.
Prediction: Brentford to win & over 1.5 goals – 8/11 (1.73)
Manchester City vs Leeds
Pep Guardiola’s decision to heavily rotate his team backfired in midweek when a shuffled Man City XI were beaten at home by Bayer Leverkusen (0-2) in the Champions League. With their rested star players restored to the team, however, a rebound victory over Leeds could be in the works.
Guardiola made 10 changes to his team on Tuesday evening, which means that the likes of Ruben Dias, Jeremy Doku, Bernardo Silva, Phil Foden and West Yorkshire-born Erling Haaland should be fresh and ready to make an impact here on Saturday.
This is the kind of fixture City are usually ruthless in. They have won 23 of their last 25 Premier League games against promoted sides, drawing the other two. Man City have also found form at the Etihad Stadium, where they have won their last five league matches by an aggregate score of 16-2.
Leeds, meanwhile, have lost five of their last six Premier League games, including the last three in a row, conceding at least twice on each occasion. Leeds have also lost five out of six away tests since their promotion, shipping 15 goals in the process, so another afternoon of struggle feels likely in Manchester.
The markets are in the same headspace, with City sitting as 1/5 favourites to win on football betting sites, though they are strong enough to win both halves against Leeds, an outcome that is fancied at 6/4.
Prediction: Manchester City to win both halves – 6/4 (2.50)
Sunderland vs Bournemouth
Andoni Iraola’s adventurous Bournemouth side have been reliably entertaining this season and the Seasiders’ trek to the Northeast to face Sunderland on Saturday could yield another high-scoring tussle on Premier League week 13.
The Cherries came from two goals down to rescue a deserved point against West Ham (2-2) last weekend. That was the eighth time in 12 league fixtures involving them this term that featured over 2.5 goals.
In fact, a league-high seven of Bournemouth’s matches have seen over 3.5 goals this season, while their away fixtures in the division have been averaging 4.16 goals since the summer.
Only four clubs have conceded more goals than the Cherries (20), but understandable following their massive defensive overhaul between seasons, though only four sides have outscored them at the opposite end (19).
They manufactured 3.90 in xG and had 27 shots against West Ham last week, and all of that was achieved without their best player, Antoine Semenyo. The Ghana winger should be fit enough to feature against Sunderland.
Punters would be wise to look to goals again here and while the over 2.5 line tempts at 17/20, it makes just as much sense to combine that with BTTS for a better price (6/5).
Tip: Over 2.5 goals & both teams to score – 6/5 (2.20)
Everton vs Newcastle
After overcoming infighting and an early red card to grind out an impressive 1-0 win over Man Utd at Old Trafford on Monday evening and, the Toffees can push for victory again, buoyed by that result, when poor travellers Newcastle visit Merseyside.
The Magpies delivered a rousing 2-1 win over Man City at St. James’ Park in their last Premier League contest, though Newcastle seem to become a different team when they leave the Toon behind.
Toppled in Marseille (2-1) in the Champions League in midweek for their fourth away defeat on the spin in all competitions, while Newcastle’s only away victory in eight attempts overall this term came at Belgian minnows Union SG in early October.
Only bottom club Wolves (1) have scored fewer away goals in the Premier League than Eddie Howe’s side (3) so far, and an Everton defence that has been conceding only 1.03 goals per game on average this season could be tough for the Magpies to break down.
Indeed, Newcastle failed to score in both meetings with Everton last term, with David Moyes’s team forcing a 1-0 win when they last met in March. The Toffees are unbeaten in four previous encounters with the Tyneside outfit overall, and they could have the edge again here.
Spoils were shared in two of the clubs’ last three skirmishes, however, so with some caution applied, we’re looking at backing Everton in the draw no bet market on Saturday evening at just shy of Evens.
Tip: Everton draw no bet – 10/11 (1.91)
Tottenham Hotspur vs Fulham
Saturday Night Football is a live game between London rivals Tottenham and Fulham, pitting one of the Premier League’s worst-performing home teams against one of the division’s limpest away performers, so something has to give in the capital.
Spurs have toiled badly on their own patch under Thomas Frank this term, though those struggles preceded the Dane’s arrival. Of the 17 ever-present clubs that have featured, none have won fewer home games (3), lost more home games (9) or collected fewer home points (12) in 2025 than Tottenham.
Frank’s side haven’t delivered a Premier League home win in five attempts since their opening weekend triumph over Burnley (3-0), so it could be worth opposing Spurs again here in the double chance market.
Tottenham showed spirit in Paris in midweek, though they put a lot of hard work into that 5-3 loss to European champions PSG. While they will have to deal with the rigours of fatigue, Fulham have had a full week to rest and plan.
The Cottagers have won two of their last three league games (vs Wolves & Sunderland) so, although they are still winless on their travels, they can look to a three-match unbeaten streak against Spurs for inspiration.
Before conceding five times in midweek, Spurs shipped four goals in a crushing North London Derby defeat to Arsenal. Any defence breached nine times in 180 minutes is bound to be nervous and Fulham could take advantage.
Tip: Fulham/draw double chance – 4/6 (1.67)
Premier League Week 13 Super Sunday Matches
Crystal Palace vs Manchester United
Manchester United are never more than one bad result away from another crisis, and aftershocks from their abject showing in Monday evening’s loss to ten-man Everton are still being felt.
United barely laid a glove on the resolute Toffees despite having a man advantage for 80 minutes at Old Trafford, and an even trickier-looking task against Crystal Palace at Selhurst Park has the potential to deepen the gloom.
Stats show that the Red Devils tend to earn better results in games where they have less of the ball, however, on Sunday, they will face a counter-attacking Eagles side only too happy to cede possession.
Indeed, only Burnley (39.3%) have been averaging less time in on the ball per game this season than Oliver Glasner’s team (42.8%). Palace have the perfect gameplan to unsettle this unconvincing United outfit.
Man Utd have already failed to win five of their six Premier League away games since the summer, while their recent record against this opposition makes for equally grim reading.
The Eagles are unbeaten in four previous encounters with United, in a dominant run that produced three victories for them In addition, Ruben Amorim’s Red Devils failed to score in each of those four meetings despite posting possession figures of 57%, 66%, 67% and 77% in that quartet of contests.
With the Palace counter-punching blueprint already tried and tested against Man Utd, back them to come out on top again with the top UK bookmakers at 13/10.
Tip: Crystal Palace to win – 13/10 (2.30)
Aston Villa vs Wolves
New boss Rob Edwards didn’t have the best of starts to his tenure last weekend when Wolves managed to register just one shot on target in a 2-0 loss at home to Crystal Palace, and things are unlikely to improve when Wanderers take on West Midlands rivals Aston Villa on Sunday.
Unai Emery’s Villans have won six of their last seven Premier League fixtures, a return that catapulted them from the relegation up to fourth spot in the blink of an eye.
Although they had continental responsibilities to tend to in midweek (vs Young Boys), however, juggling roles on two fronts hasn’t been an issue for Villa, who have won all four of their Premier League fixtures played immediately after European ones so far.
They also know how to harness the full power of home advantage. Villa have lost only one of their last 23 EPL assignments at Villa Park and they demolished a strong Bournemouth side in their last league match there (4-0).
Bottom club Wolves remain winless and have lost five league games on the bounce, failing to score in four of those, so punters should expect them to be under the cosh again here.
In-form Villa can win this one with room to spare and there is plenty of evidence to suggest they can overcome a small handicap against the division’s worst team on Sunday.
Tip: Aston Villa -1.0 goal handicap – 13/10 (2.30)
Nottingham Forest vs Brighton
Nottingham Forest are gathering momentum under Sean Dyche and their show-stopping 3-0 win over Liverpool at Anfield last weekend will have pushed their confidence to season-high levels.
Forest have pocketed seven points from the last nine on offer and, now that he has his feet fully under the table, Dyche seems to be extracting the very best out of players like Elliot Anderson and Morgan Gibbs-White.
A buoyant Reds could come out of the traps quickly during Premier League week 13 against a Brighton side known for starting games sluggishly, so backing the hosts to open the scoring at the City Ground looks like a good way to capitalise.
Albion have been a “second-half team” this term, notching just four of their 19 goals before the interval. In fact, the Seagulls have scored more goals in the second half of games in total (15) and as an overall percentage (79%) than any side in the Premier League since the start of the campaign.
Brighton lost last season’s corresponding fixture at Forest 7-0 and were three down just after the half-hour mark. We’re not for one second suggesting that a similar mauling could be in the works here, however, the Reds look decently equipped to start quickly again on Sunday.
Tip: Nottingham Forest to score first – Evens (2.00)
West Ham vs Liverpool
Arne Slot just can’t find a way to stop the bleeding at the moment with Liverpool’s shocking 4-1 loss at home to PSV in the Champions League in midweek the latest in a lengthening line of damaging defeats.
The Reds have now lost an incredible nine of their last 12 matches in all competitions, a run that even the most devout pessimist couldn’t have foreseen following the club’s record-breaking summer transfer splurge.
With a backline troubled by injuries and a crisis in confidence, Liverpool have conceded 3+ goals in five of their last seven assignments, so they are completely unbackable as 8/11 favourites in Sunday’s away fixture at West Ham.
The Irons are unbeaten in three following last week’s 2-2 draw at Bournemouth, with the first signs of progression under Nuno Espirito Santo evident. While they hold some appeal to avoid defeat on Sunday at Evens, we’re looking to goals instead.
Liverpool’s leakiness has been remarkable, though they are still creating as many chances as anyone in the attacking third and rank first in the league for average shots attempted per 90 minutes (15.25).
They’ve also scored in all but one of their six away fixtures in the Premier League since August, and they had a goal controversially ruled out for offside in their one blank at Man City earlier in the month.
Six of Liverpool’s last eight league matches vaulted the over 2.5 goal hurdle and five of the same games featured goals from both teams. Combining the two on the best betting apps in the UK is an angle here on what could be an afternoon of high drama at the London Stadium.
Tip: Over 2.5 goals & both teams to score – 8/11 (1.73)
Chelsea vs Arsenal
The Gunners are absolutely firing at present, though Sunday’s jaunt across the capital to face Chelsea at Stamford Bridge might just be their toughest challenge in what’s already been an eventful week.
Both Arsenal and Chelsea enjoyed significant wins in the Champions League in midweek, with the Blues running roughshod over ten-man Barcelona (3-0) and the Mikel Arteta’s team becoming the first team to beat Bayern Munich (3-1) this term.
Enzo Maresca’s side have also won five of their last six Premier League matches. That puts them as Arsenal’s closest challengers at the top of the table, but neither team is likely to take a backwards step at Stamford Bridge.
Thanks to some expert defending this season, the Gunners have the numbers to back that up, though they did concede in each of their last three games (vs Bayern, Spurs & Sunderland). A clean sheet might be beyond them again on Sunday.
The Blues have scored in 100% of their last eight fixtures at Stamford Bridge and they are playing with enough confidence to extend that streak.
Chelsea and Arsenal have virtually been matching each other stride-for-stride in terms of goals scored (23 – 24) and xG (22.1 – 20.7) in the Premier League since August, and there is a chance that the teams will trade blows here.
Tip: Both teams to score – 8/11 (1.73)
