Players will jet off to link up with their countries after this weekend’s fixtures, making Premier League week 11 an interesting pause point. Teams will be doubly determined to sign off in positive style ahead of the November international break, which should sharpen their competitive edge.
Arsenal will remain top no matter their result at Sunderland on Saturday, but below the Gunners, there is a crowded chasing pack, with only three points separating Man City in second from Crystal Palace in ninth.
There are some showpiece fixtures to look out for, with Tottenham’s clash with Man Utd the highlight on Saturday and City’s tussle with Liverpool the main event on Sunday. We’ve got Premier League predictions for all ten of this weekend’s matches, however. Check them out below.
Premier League Week 11 Saturday Games
Tottenham Hotspur v Manchester United
A rollercoaster week for Spurs concludes on Saturday when they host Manchester United in a lunchtime fixture that looks difficult to call.
Booed off by their own fans when they limped to a 1-0 loss to London rivals Chelsea last weekend, Tottenham lodged the lowest expected goals total (0.10) of any side in a single Premier League fixture this season.
Strange on-pitch exchanges between manager Thomas Frank and defenders Micky van de Ven and Djed Spence after full-time only added to the ill-feeling. It suggests all is not well in North London.
Spurs did roar back with a convincing triumph over FC Copenhagen (4-0) in the Champions League in midweek, however, that was the rarest of home victories for Frank, who has overseen just one win in five there in the Premier League since his appointment.
However, as bad as Tottenham’s home record is, they have hold an edge over Man Utd in recent seasons. They beat the Red Devils four times last term, including the Europa League final, and are undefeated in seven previous encounters overall. Things could be different under Frank, however.
United travel to the capital in good form with 10 points from the last 12 on offer, and while some green shoots are finally emerging under Rubem Amorim, they remain fragile on the road (1 win in 5) and old scars were opened in their chaotic 2-2 draw with Nottingham Forest a week ago.
So, which way to lean? Neither side is reliable enough to back here, so the goal markets look like a better option. BTTS has landed in five of United’s last six league assignments, with their improved attack offsetting some lingering defensive issues. I expect to see more of the same here.
Prediction: Both Teams to Score 1/2 (1.50)
Everton v Fulham
Former Everton boss Marco Silva revisits Merseyside on Saturday when he steers Fulham north and the Cottagers could upset the odds to claim at least a point at the Hill Dickinson Stadium.
Fulham’s 3-0 win over Wolves last weekend was a much-needed confidence booster and allowed the club to snap a four-game losing streak. Silva’s side had been performing better than their results suggested, so that victory felt overdue.
Everton, meanwhile, have failed to win seven of their last eight games in league and cup. They dropped points in two of their last three home matches, and needed a 92nd-minute winner from Jack Grealish to see off Palace in the middle of that run.
Fulham tend to perform well against the Toffees and have lost only one of their last seven league meetings (W3, D3), so they will fancy their chances here, having been buoyed by their convincing win over Wolves.
The Cottagers were on course to win this fixture last year, before Beto equalized for Everton four minutes into added time. Fulham haven’t lost an away game in the blue half of Merseyside since 2018 and, though the venue has changed this season, the Londoners are backed to avoid defeat again.
Prediction: Fulham/draw double chance (8/13 – 1.62)
West Ham v Burnley
Two of the division’s bottom four collide at the London Stadium on Saturday in what feels like an early-season relegation six-pointer, though the survival rivals could be difficult to separate in the East End.
The Irons produced a stellar performance to topple Newcastle (3-1) in their last test, though that dynamic display came out of the blue and delivered Nuno Espirito Santo’s first win as Hammers boss.
It is interesting to note, however, that West Ham had just 38% possession against the Magpies, and made the most of their counter-attacking opportunities. Burnley, who will be happy to sit deep, will pose a completely different challenge.
Prior to last weekend’s 2-0 loss to table-topping Arsenal, the Clarets enjoyed impressive back-to-back wins over fellow relegation candidates Leeds (2-0) and Wolves (3-2).
Before blanking against the Gunners, Burnley scored at least once in 90% of their ten matches in league and cup, while BTTS landed in five of their last eight Premier League fixtures. Only Spurs, Liverpool and Arsenal have kept them off the scoresheet since their promotion.
Former West Ham midfielder Scott Parker should get a warm welcome on Saturday, though the Burnley coach has a gameplan that should make life awkward for his former employers. Burnley/draw is of interest in the double chance market here at just shy of evens (5/6), though BTTS is ultimately fancied instead.
Tip: Both teams to score (3/4 – 1.75)
Sunderland v Arsenal
Premier League leaders Arsenal are on the cusp of making history. Should they beat Sunderland without conceding on Saturday, they will set a new club and English record of nine clean sheets in a row (in all competitions).
The Gunners look well-positioned to enter the annals. Their cosy 3-0 win over Slavia Prague in the Champions League in midweek was their 10th victory on the spin and their 12th triumph in 13 matches overall.
Arsenal have played over 12 hours of football without conceding a goal, with Newcastle the last team to breach their defences on 28 September. Incredibly, they have conceded only one shot on target in their last four league games combined, though their last opponents, Burnley, did strike the woodwork late on last weekend.
Still, Arsenal are easily backed to win to nil again here, with a price of even money with top UK football bookies is too attractive to turn down. Sunderland are in nosebleed territory in 4th, however, they rank bottom half for expected points and bottom four for expected goals, pointing to a major overperformance.
Mikel Arteta’s classy Gunners might only need one goal to win this one, just as they did in two of their last three league games (1-0 Fulham & Palace), though expect the Londoners to leave the Stadium of Light with three points and a place in the history books.
Tip: Arsenal to win to nil (Evens – 2.00)
Chelsea v Wolves
Wolves axed head coach Vitor Pereira this week, just 45 days after they had rewarded the Portuguese with a fresh three-year contract, however, it’s difficult to build a case against his dismissal.
Rock-bottom Wanderers are still winless this season and their 3-0 loss at Fulham last weekend was their 8th defeat in 10 Premier League fixtures since the summer.
Wolves talked to former manager Gary O’Neil about a possible return to Molineux, but pivoted to Middlesbrough’s Rob Edwards after talks fell apart. Boro rebuffed their approach immediately, however, meaning Wanderers will have Under-21 coach James Collins and Under-18 boss Richard Walker in the dugout at Stamford Bridge.
With their visitors in disarray, Chelsea should be winning this one with relative comfort, though the markets agree and the Blues are as stingy as 1/3 with the best online bookmakers to triumph.
Better value exists if you combine a home win with over 1.5 goals however and, with Wolves shipping a league-high 2.20 goals per game this term, this combo can be backed with confidence.
Chelsea impressed in their win at Tottenham last weekend and though the final score was modest (1-0), they did lodge a hefty 3.70 in expected goals, proving that chance-creation isn’t a problem.
A changed Blues XI put four goals past Wolves at Molineux in the Carabao Cup (4-3) last month and with a full complement of first-teamers restored, more goals could be in the offing.
Tip: Chelsea to win & over 1.5 goals (1/2 – 1.50)
Premier League Week 11 Super Sunday Matches
Aston Villa v Bournemouth
Aston Villa’s six-game unbeaten streak (W4 D2) in the Premier League came to a shuddering halt at Anfield last weekend when they fell to defeat against Liverpool (2-0).
Instead of emulating the direct style that has been unsettling the Reds in recent weeks, Villa played out from the back on Merseyside. Their high-pressing hosts punished them.
Unai Emery will be glad to get his team back to Villa Park, where his side have lost only one of their last 23 Premier League fixtures. Indeed, in the last two campaigns, only Liverpool (58), Man City (54) and Arsenal (52) have collected more home points than Villa (50).
Still, Bournemouth are unlikely to roll over in the Midlands. The Cherries have failed to win four of their five away assignments this term, though they have rarely been outplayed.
Only Chelsea (29) have had more shots on target in away Premier League matches this season, while only the Blues (12) and Tottenham (12) have scored more away goals than the Seasiders (9)
I expect Bournemouth to give as good as they get again on Sunday. Three of the last four meetings between the clubs produced goals at both ends, a bet that has also landed in four of Bournemouth’s five away matches this term. Look to the same market for profit here.
Tip: Both teams to score (6/10 – 1.60)
Brentford v Newcastle
Newcastle overpowered Athletic Bilbao (2-0) in the Champions League on Wednesday evening, however, the rigours of midweek football could have them fatigued, and a fresher Brentford could take advantage on Sunday.
Eddie Howe’s Magpies have won 70% of their last ten matches in all competitions, but a glance under the hood shows that all but one of those wins were secured at St. James’ Park.
In contrast, Newcastle have yet to post a Premier League away win this season (D3 L2) and their last road trip saw them turned over in worryingly easy fashion by West Ham (1-3).
Brentford have had similar issues on their travels, though they have been motoring nicely at home, where they have been picking up an average of 2.00 points per game.
The Bees tend to excel when hosting the division’s bigger names and Aston Villa, Chelsea, Man Utd and Liverpool have all dropped points at the Gtech Community Stadium since August. They can make themselves a nuisance again when Newcastle visit.
Brentford’s hard-running, direct style under Keith Andrews looks like an ideal blueprint to use against a side that might be suffering from a continental hangover, and the Bees look like good value to avoid defeat on Sunday.
Tip: Brentford/draw double chance (1/2 – 1.50)
Crystal Palace v Brighton
Rivalries will be renewed on Sunday when Crystal Palace and Brighton engage in their latest battle of the birds, and recent history suggests both the Eagles and Seagulls will score at Selhurst Park.
Palace did the league double over Albion last term, counter-punching their way to a 3-1 win on the south coast in December before turning Brighton over in a tighter return contest in May (2-1).
The latter prolonged a lengthy BTTS streak Both teams have scored in all eight Premier League meetings between Crystal Palace and Brighton at Selhurst Park, and similar is anticipated on Sunday.
Palace are also in the midst of the longest unbeaten home run (13) in the division, so any notions of a positive Brighton result here should probably be dismissed.
Albion have traded blows with their hosts in each of their last four away matches however, and found a route to goal in some tricky away assignments at Bournemouth (1-2), Chelsea (3-1) and Man Utd (2-4) during that run.
Brighton’s knack for scoring could be rewarded again against a Palace defence that has kept only one clean sheet in six Premier League outings, though the Eagles, who have notched at least twice in five of their last eight league games, are unlikely to be denied.
Sunday’s teams will also be spearheaded by two of the league’s form forwards in Jean-Philippe Mateta and Danny Welbeck. The strikers have six goals each this term, and with both involved, the chances of goals being notched at both ends feels even higher.
Tip: Both teams to score (4/7 – 1.57)
Nottingham Forest v Leeds
Nottingham Forest looked more motivated and better drilled in their 2-2 draw with Man Utd a week ago and with new head coach Sean Dyche’s influence becoming more apparent, they should be battle-ready again for the visit of Leeds on Sunday.
Forest lodged 17 shots and created 1.90 in expected goals in their excellent showing against United, with Morgan Gibbs-White, Elliot Anderson, Callum Hudson-Odoi and Dan Ndoye among others playing with greater discipline and energy.
Leeds (16th) are a comfortable five points ahead of Forest (19th) in the current standings, but I expect that deficit to be slashed at the City Ground.
The Yorkshiremen have collected eight of their 11 points at Elland Road since their promotion, while four of their five away games have ended in defeat, with Leeds failing to score in four of those losses.
Daniel Farke’s side are also one of only two teams in the division to concede the opening goal in all five away Premier League matches this season, and a fast start from Forest on Sunday could unsettle them again.
With last weekend’s draw with Man Utd acting as a springboard, Forest can push for three points at Leeds’s expense in this one, with prices in that direction very attractive.
Tip: Nottingham Forest to win (23/20 – 2.15)
Manchester City v Liverpool
Man City (2nd) and Liverpool (3rd) trail leaders Arsenal by six and seven points respectively, and even at this early juncture, a defeat for either side in Sunday’s showdown would put a massive dent in their title hopes.
Liverpool restored some order with last weekend’s 2-0 win over Aston Villa and played with renewed confidence in midweek in a 1-0 win over Real Madrid in the Champions League.
With Conor Bradley (who excelled on Tuesday) and Andy Robertson installed in the full-back positions instead of summer signings Jeremie Frimpong (injured) and Milos Kerkez (benched), Liverpool looked more secure in both games.
With their defensive line more settled, Liverpool could be positioned to snap their three-game losing streak on the road, and if they can keep Erling Haaland on the periphery, then at least a point could be in reach at The Etihad Stadium.
Haaland is in blistering form, though City have developed a definite over-reliance on the Norwegian. The striker has scored 13 Premier League goals this season, though no other City player has scored more than once.
The centre-forward’s record against Liverpool is remarkably poor. He has never been on the winning side against the Merseysiders in the league, scoring just once in four top-flight appearances against them overall.
City lost both meetings with Liverpool last season, and Haaland touched the ball just 16 times when he last faced the Reds (Dec 2024). Arne Slot seemed to do a tactical number on Pep Guardiola on both occasions and the Dutchman might have something up his sleeve again on Sunday. Back Liverpool to avoid defeat.
Tip: Liverpool/draw double chance (5/6 – 1.83)
